| | |
Implied RareGen
Equity Value |
|
Liquidia Technologies case (no synergies)
|
| |
$26.0 – $56.0 million
|
|
Liquidia Technologies case (with synergies)
|
| |
$36.0 – $66.0 million
|
|
(US$ Millions)
|
| |
2020
|
| |
2021
|
| |
2022
|
| |
2023
|
| |
2024
|
| |||||||||||||||
Revenue(1) | | | | | 16.2 | | | | | | 18.4 | | | | | | 19.6 | | | | | | 23.1 | | | | | | 26.4 | | |
EBIT | | | | | 5.8 | | | | | | 6.4 | | | | | | 3.7 | | | | | | 8.3 | | | | | | 8.6 | | |
Less: Tax
|
| | | | (1.4) | | | | | | (1.6) | | | | | | (0.9) | | | | | | (2.1) | | | | | | (2.2) | | |
Plus: Depreciation and Amortization
|
| | | | 0.1 | | | | | | 0.1 | | | | | | 0.1 | | | | | | 0.1 | | | | | | 0.1 | | |
Less: Capex
|
| | | | (0.5) | | | | | | (0.5) | | | | | | (0.5) | | | | | | (0.5) | | | | | | (0.5) | | |
Less: Change in NWC
|
| | | | 0.5 | | | | | | (0.2) | | | | | | (0.1) | | | | | | (0.4) | | | | | | (0.3) | | |
Unlevered Free Cash Flow (no synergies)
|
| | | | 4.4 | | | | | | 4.2 | | | | | | 2.2 | | | | | | 5.4 | | | | | | 5.7 | | |
Incremental free cash flow from synergies (assuming October 2021
launch) |
| | | | | | | | | | 2.9 | | | | | | 8.9 | | | | | | 4.1 | | | | | | 2.1 | | |
Incremental free cash from synergies (assuming November 2022 launch)
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2.9 | | | | | | 7.0 | | | | | | 2.3 | | |
(US$ Millions)
|
| |
2020
|
| |
2021
|
| |
2022
|
| |
2023
|
| |
2024
|
| |||||||||||||||
Revenue(1) | | | | | 35.0 | | | | | | 47.3 | | | | | | 48.1 | | | | | | 45.5 | | | | | | 36.8 | | |
EBIT | | | | | 16.4 | | | | | | 15.1 | | | | | | 15.2 | | | | | | 17.0 | | | | | | 12.3 | | |
Less: Tax
|
| | | | (4.1) | | | | | | (3.8) | | | | | | (3.8) | | | | | | (4.2) | | | | | | (3.1) | | |
Plus: Depreciation and Amortization
|
| | | | 0.1 | | | | | | 0.1 | | | | | | 0.1 | | | | | | 0.1 | | | | | | 0.1 | | |
Less: Capex
|
| | | | (0.5) | | | | | | (0.5) | | | | | | (0.5) | | | | | | (0.5) | | | | | | (0.5) | | |
Less: Change in NWC
|
| | | | (1.4) | | | | | | (1.2) | | | | | | (0.1) | | | | | | 0.3 | | | | | | 0.9 | | |
Unlevered Free Cash Flow
|
| | | | 10.5 | | | | | | 9.7 | | | | | | 10.9 | | | | | | 12.6 | | | | | | 9.7 | | |
(US$ Millions)
|
| |
2020
|
| |
2021
|
| |
2022
|
| |
2023
|
| |
2024
|
| |
2025
|
| |
2026
|
| |
2027
|
| |
2028
|
| |
2029
|
| |
2030
|
| |
2031
|
| |
2032
|
| |
2033
|
| |
2034
|
| |
2035
|
| |
2036
|
| |
2037
|
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Revenue
|
| | | | — | | | | | | 1.3 | | | | | | 37.0 | | | | | | 97.2 | | | | | | 163.4 | | | | | | 228.8 | | | | | | 282.7 | | | | | | 318.2 | | | | | | 339.8 | | | | | | 357.2 | | | | | | 375.2 | | | | | | 360.8 | | | | | | 317.2 | | | | | | 271.6 | | | | | | 224.1 | | | | | | 174.7 | | | | | | 123.1 | | | | | | 69.4 | | |
Cost of Goods
|
| | | | 8.7 | | | | | | 15.8 | | | | | | 20.4 | | | | | | 20.9 | | | | | | 21.5 | | | | | | 22.1 | | | | | | 23.6 | | | | | | 26.2 | | | | | | 27.9 | | | | | | 29.4 | | | | | | 31.0 | | | | | | 30.5 | | | | | | 28.1 | | | | | | 28.0 | | | | | | 28.9 | | | | | | 29.8 | | | | | | 30.6 | | | | | | 31.6 | | |
Total Expenses
|
| | | | 36.6 | | | | | | 66.0 | | | | | | 88.1 | | | | | | 95.6 | | | | | | 87.6 | | | | | | 96.7 | | | | | | 101.8 | | | | | | 102.0 | | | | | | 100.5 | | | | | | 103.3 | | | | | | 106.1 | | | | | | 94.2 | | | | | | 85.3 | | | | | | 79.0 | | | | | | 74.7 | | | | | | 71.9 | | | | | | 70.2 | | | | | | 69.4 | | |
EBIT
|
| | | | (45.4) | | | | | | (80.5) | | | | | | (71.5) | | | | | | (19.3) | | | | | | 54.3 | | | | | | 109.9 | | | | | | 157.3 | | | | | | 190.0 | | | | | | 211.4 | | | | | | 224.5 | | | | | | 238.1 | | | | | | 236.1 | | | | | | 203.7 | | | | | | 164.6 | | | | | | 120.6 | | | | | | 73.0 | | | | | | 22.2 | | | | | | (31.6) | | |
Less: Tax
|
| | | | — | | | | | | — | | | | | | — | | | | | | — | | | | | | (13.6) | | | | | | (27.5) | | | | | | (39.3) | | | | | | (47.5) | | | | | | (52.8) | | | | | | (56.1) | | | | | | (59.5) | | | | | | (59.0) | | | | | | (50.9) | | | | | | (41.1) | | | | | | (30.1) | | | | | | (18.3) | | | | | | (5.6) | | | | | | — | | |
Plus: Depreciation and Amortization
|
| | | | 0.3 | | | | | | 0.2 | | | | | | 0.2 | | | | | | 0.3 | | | | | | 0.3 | | | | | | 0.4 | | | | | | 0.5 | | | | | | 0.6 | | | | | | 0.6 | | | | | | 0.6 | | | | | | 0.7 | | | | | | 0.6 | | | | | | 0.6 | | | | | | 0.5 | | | | | | 0.4 | | | | | | 0.3 | | | | | | 0.3 | | | | | | 0.3 | | |
Less: Capex
|
| | | | (2.1) | | | | | | (1.7) | | | | | | (1.3) | | | | | | (2.0) | | | | | | (2.0) | | | | | | (2.7) | | | | | | (3.3) | | | | | | (3.7) | | | | | | (4.0) | | | | | | (4.2) | | | | | | (4.4) | | | | | | (4.2) | | | | | | (3.7) | | | | | | (3.2) | | | | | | (2.6) | | | | | | (2.1) | | | | | | (2.0) | | | | | | (2.0) | | |
Less: Change in NWC
|
| | | | — | | | | | | (0.1) | | | | | | (3.6) | | | | | | (6.0) | | | | | | (6.6) | | | | | | (6.5) | | | | | | (5.4) | | | | | | (3.6) | | | | | | (2.2) | | | | | | (1.7) | | | | | | (1.8) | | | | | | 1.4 | | | | | | 4.4 | | | | | | 4.6 | | | | | | 4.7 | | | | | | 4.9 | | | | | | 5.2 | | | | | | 5.4 | | |
Unlevered Free Cash Flow
|
| | | | (47.1) | | | | | | (82.1) | | | | | | (76.1) | | | | | | (27.0) | | | | | | 32.4 | | | | | | 73.6 | | | | | | 109.7 | | | | | | 135.8 | | | | | | 153.0 | | | | | | 163.1 | | | | | | 173.0 | | | | | | 174.9 | | | | | | 154.0 | | | | | | 125.3 | | | | | | 92.9 | | | | | | 58.0 | | | | | | 20.1 | | | | | | (27.9) | | |
(US$ Millions)
|
| |
2020
|
| |
2021
|
| |
2022
|
| |
2023
|
| |
2024
|
| |
2025
|
| |
2026
|
| |
2027
|
| |
2028
|
| |
2029
|
| |
2030
|
| |
2031
|
| |
2032
|
| |
2033
|
| |
2034
|
| |
2035
|
| |
2036
|
| |
2037
|
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Revenue
|
| | | | — | | | | | | — | | | | | | 1.3 | | | | | | 25.1 | | | | | | 66.1 | | | | | | 111.0 | | | | | | 155.1 | | | | | | 191.6 | | | | | | 215.6 | | | | | | 230.3 | | | | | | 242.1 | | | | | | 254.3 | | | | | | 244.5 | | | | | | 214.9 | | | | | | 184.1 | | | | | | 151.9 | | | | | | 118.4 | | | | | | 83.4 | | |
Cost of Goods
|
| | | | 8.5 | | | | | | 13.2 | | | | | | 8.8 | | | | | | 7.5 | | | | | | 10.1 | | | | | | 13.0 | | | | | | 16.0 | | | | | | 18.5 | | | | | | 20.3 | | | | | | 21.6 | | | | | | 22.7 | | | | | | 23.9 | | | | | | 23.6 | | | | | | 22.1 | | | | | | 20.4 | | | | | | 18.6 | | | | | | 16.7 | | | | | | 14.7 | | |
Total Expenses
|
| | | | 31.5 | | | | | | 32.8 | | | | | | 47.3 | | | | | | 65.4 | | | | | | 60.1 | | | | | | 66.1 | | | | | | 71.2 | | | | | | 71.4 | | | | | | 71.9 | | | | | | 74.2 | | | | | | 76.3 | | | | | | 70.6 | | | | | | 66.2 | | | | | | 62.1 | | | | | | 59.4 | | | | | | 57.9 | | | | | | 57.2 | | | | | | 57.6 | | |
EBIT
|
| | | | (40.0) | | | | | | (46.1) | | | | | | (54.8) | | | | | | (47.8) | | | | | | (4.2) | | | | | | 31.8 | | | | | | 67.9 | | | | | | 101.7 | | | | | | 123.4 | | | | | | 134.4 | | | | | | 143.1 | | | | | | 159.8 | | | | | | 154.8 | | | | | | 130.8 | | | | | | 104.2 | | | | | | 75.4 | | | | | | 44.4 | | | | | | 11.1 | | |
Less: Tax
|
| | | | — | | | | | | — | | | | | | — | | | | | | — | | | | | | — | | | | | | (8.0) | | | | | | (17.0) | | | | | | (25.4) | | | | | | (30.9) | | | | | | (33.6) | | | | | | (35.8) | | | | | | (40.0) | | | | | | (38.7) | | | | | | (32.7) | | | | | | (26.1) | | | | | | (18.8) | | | | | | (11.1) | | | | | | (2.8) | | |
Plus: Depreciation and Amortization
|
| | | | 0.3 | | | | | | 0.3 | | | | | | 0.2 | | | | | | 0.3 | | | | | | 0.3 | | | | | | 0.3 | | | | | | 0.3 | | | | | | 0.3 | | | | | | 0.4 | | | | | | 0.4 | | | | | | 0.4 | | | | | | 0.4 | | | | | | 0.4 | | | | | | 0.4 | | | | | | 0.3 | | | | | | 0.3 | | | | | | 0.3 | | | | | | 0.3 | | |
Less: Capex
|
| | | | (1.9) | | | | | | (1.8) | | | | | | (1.2) | | | | | | (2.0) | | | | | | (2.0) | | | | | | (2.0) | | | | | | (2.0) | | | | | | (2.3) | | | | | | (2.5) | | | | | | (2.7) | | | | | | (2.8) | | | | | | (3.0) | | | | | | (2.9) | | | | | | (2.5) | | | | | | (2.2) | | | | | | (2.0) | | | | | | (2.0) | | | | | | (2.0) | | |
Less: Change in NWC
|
| | | | — | | | | | | — | | | | | | (0.1) | | | | | | (2.4) | | | | | | (4.1) | | | | | | (4.5) | | | | | | (4.4) | | | | | | (3.6) | | | | | | (2.4) | | | | | | (1.5) | | | | | | (1.2) | | | | | | (1.2) | | | | | | 1.0 | | | | | | 3.0 | | | | | | 3.1 | | | | | | 3.2 | | | | | | 3.4 | | | | | | 3.5 | | |
Unlevered Free Cash Flow
|
| | | | (41.6) | | | | | | (47.6) | | | | | | (56.0) | | | | | | (51.9) | | | | | | (10.0) | | | | | | 17.7 | | | | | | 44.8 | | | | | | 70.7 | | | | | | 88.0 | | | | | | 97.1 | | | | | | 103.7 | | | | | | 116.1 | | | | | | 114.6 | | | | | | 98.9 | | | | | | 79.4 | | | | | | 58.1 | | | | | | 35.0 | | | | | | 10.1 | | |
|
(US$ Millions)
|
| |
2020
|
| |
2021
|
| |
2022
|
| |||||||||
Revenue
|
| | | | — | | | | | | — | | | | | | — | | |
Total Expenses
|
| | | | 45.4 | | | | | | 72.1 | | | | | | 57.2 | | |
EBIT
|
| | | | (45.4) | | | | | | (72.1) | | | | | | (57.2) | | |
Less: Tax
|
| | | | — | | | | | | — | | | | | | — | | |
Plus: Depreciation and Amortization
|
| | | | 0.3 | | | | | | 0.2 | | | | | | 0.2 | | |
Less: Capex
|
| | | | — | | | | | | — | | | | | | — | | |
Less: Change in NWC
|
| | | | — | | | | | | — | | | | | | — | | |
Unlevered Free Cash Flow
|
| | | | (45.1) | | | | | | (71.9) | | | | | | (57.0) | | |
| | |
Fiscal Year Ending December 31,
|
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| | |
2020
|
| |
2021
|
| |
2022
|
| |
2023
|
| |
2024
|
| |||||||||||||||
RareGen/Sandoz Net Sales(1)
|
| | | $ | 35.0 | | | | | $ | 47.3 | | | | | $ | 48.1 | | | | | $ | 45.5 | | | | | $ | 36.8 | | |
Adjusted Net Sales(2)
|
| | | | 26.2 | | | | | | 23.6 | | | | | | 24.1 | | | | | | 22.8 | | | | | | 18.4 | | |
EBIT(3) | | | | | 16.4 | | | | | | 15.1 | | | | | | 15.2 | | | | | | 17.0 | | | | | | 12.3 | | |
Net Operating Profit (after tax)(4)
|
| | | $ | 12.3 | | | | | $ | 11.3 | | | | | $ | 11.4 | | | | | $ | 12.7 | | | | | $ | 9.2 | | |
| | |
Fiscal Year Ending December 31,
|
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| | |
2020
|
| |
2021
|
| |
2022
|
| |
2023
|
| |
2024
|
| |||||||||||||||
RareGen/Sandoz Net Sales(1)
|
| | | $ | 16.2 | | | | | $ | 18.4 | | | | | $ | 19.6 | | | | | $ | 23.1 | | | | | $ | 26.4 | | |
Adjusted Net Sales(2)
|
| | | | 13.0 | | | | | | 13.2 | | | | | | 9.8 | | | | | | 11.5 | | | | | | 13.2 | | |
EBIT(3) | | | | | 5.8 | | | | | | 6.4 | | | | | | 3.7 | | | | | | 8.3 | | | | | | 8.6 | | |
Net Operating Profit (after tax)(4)
|
| | | $ | 4.3 | | | | | $ | 4.8 | | | | | $ | 2.8 | | | | | $ | 6.2 | | | | | $ | 6.5 | | |